Tuesday, March 3, 2009

MARKET SNAPSHOT: Stocks Extend 12-year Lows As Strategists Debate Significance

By Kate Gibson

As U.S. stocks tried and failed Tuesday to bounce back from the prior session's stumble to 12-year lows, analysts, technicians and would-be historians debated the significance of the declines, which may or may not signal an important market milestone.

On Tuesday, utility shares led losses, as the S&P 500 Index slid to its first close under 700 since Oct. 28, 1996, with a passel of testimony from federal officials doing nothing to calm jitters about the recession and the ailing financial system.

"Certainly when that November low of 750 was breached, getting to 700 happened relatively quickly. It's the economy and the extent [to which] corporate earnings have deteriorated," said Dean Curnutt, president of Macro Risk Advisors. "Folks are walking down the street and seeing a lot of empty storefronts."

After trading in a 150-point range on either side of zero during the day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 37.27 points, or 0.6%, to 6,726.02. The S&P 500 declined 4.49 points, or 0.6%, to 696.33, and the Nasdaq Composite (RIXF) declined 1.84 points, or 0.1%, to 1,321.01.

On Monday, the Dow had closed at 6,763, a level not seen since 1997. If nothing else, the breach of 12-year lows is unusual. Other than Monday's retesting of 1997 lows, such a crossing has occurred only twice before, on Dec. 6, 1974, and April 8, 1932.

BOND REPORT: Treasurys End Higher As Stocks Hit Fresh 12-year Lows

By Nick Godt

Treasurys rose on Tuesday, while yields fell, after stocks made fresh 12- year lows after weak housing and auto sales data, along with a bleak assessment of the economy from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke.

Speaking on Capitol Hill, Bernanke said that the most recent economic data, including on the labor market, showed little sign of improvement in recent weeks.

Reversing morning gains, government bonds returned to positive ground, sending their yields lower. Yields on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes (UST10Y) fell fractionally to 2.879%. Yields on two-year notes (UST2YR) were flat at 0.883%, while those on 30-year bonds (UST30Y) fell 1 basis points to 3.603%.

Bond prices move inversely to their yields.

Treasurys rose sharply on Monday as stocks tumbled to 12-year lows amid fresh concerns over the health of financial firms such AIG (AIG).

After rising firmly in morning trade Tuesday, stocks turned negative. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished down 37 points at 6,726. The S&P 500 index dipped 4 points to 696, marking its first close below 700 since Oct. 28, 1996. the Nasdaq Composite (RIXF) lost 1 point to 1,321.

General Motors Corp. (GM), Ford Motor Co. (F) and Chrysler LLC said U.S. vehicle sales fell at least 44% in February.

Investors also failed to react positively to remarks from Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner who spoke on the budget and didn't provide additional details on how the government intends to deal with the toxic assets that still plague banks' balance sheets.

Sunday, March 1, 2009

MARKET SNAPSHOT: Dow Heads To Worst February Point Drop Ever; S P's Close Eyed

By Kate Gibson

As stocks on Friday meandered to another month of losses, investors were especially focused on the S&P 500 Index and whether the broad market gauge would close above or below its November lows, with a finish above 740 to 750 seen as a victory of sorts.

"Only on a two-day close below 740 will I run for the hills. A close over 740 today would be considered a successful test of the November 2008 low," said Elliot Spar, market strategist at Stifel Nicolaus.

The S&P closed at 752.44 on Nov. 20, though the benchmark on Monday undercut that prior bear-market low.

"Hopefully we can get back to 800 on the S&P, but first we have to get past resistance at 752. If we can close above that one resistance level I think it would be a mild positive," said Robert Pavlik, chief market strategist at Banyan Partners LLC.

On Friday, financials led the declines, with Citigroup Inc. (C) down 39% on news the U.S. government was hiking its stake in the battered bank. .

Energy shares led sector gains and helped some in offsetting the damage that had the S&P falling to a 12-year low before bouncing back.

At 3:30 p.m. Eastern, the S&P 500 (SPX) was down 13.48 points to 739.35, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was off 82.75 points to 7,099.33.

The technology laden Nasdaq Composite (RIXF) fell 3.94 points to 1,387.53.